COVID-19: Another Doubling

I write this on April 16, 2020. We are in our fourth week of Stay At Home orders in Pennsylvania. As of this morning, there are almost 650,000 cases in the U.S., and 28,500 fatalities in the U.S.

The current Doubling Chart looks like this:

Since I started counting “doublings” on March 28 (19 days ago), there have been two doublings in case counts, and four doublings of deaths. Regarding deaths in the U.S., on Tuesday (2 days ago) and Wednesday (yesterday), more Americans died each day from this virus than died in the attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941.

In addition, there is an economic impact. Weekly unemployment claims were just announced by the Department of Labor. 5.2 million Americans filed for unemployment last week. In the last 4 weeks, 22 millions Americans filed for unemployment.

The virus death toll worsens, the economy worsens, and we still do not have a federal plan for comprehensive testing of all Americans, provision of protective gear for healthcare workers, or a coordinated effort to develop vaccines or drug treatment.

In other words, this is going to continue for the foreseeable future. Go back to the “Doubling Chart” above. Get familiar with it. You’re going to be seeing a lot of it.


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